Agroclimatic crop forecast Maize

For the municipality South Tigray, the agroclimatic forecast is presented (potential yield) according to planting date of July, 2022 - August, 2022 for calibrated varieties. The weather station that provides the data to estimate is Mehoni Town - ETH15061, provided by NMA-EIAR. Observe the performance of all cultivars before selecting the variety to plant.

The agroclimatic forecast for the cultivar BH660 (rainfed) .

Potential yield according to planting date

To calculate the potential yield, please select the soil texture of the plot to be planted

In the following plots the potential yield of the cultivar is grouped by ranges. The color of the cell indicates the level of yield according to a scale defined by the experts. The color of the categories represents in what range it is.

Planting dates

To achieve maximum potential yield at harvest, the most favorable planting date is

Average potential yield

In the following plot you can see the average potential yield, according to the planting date

Forecast confidence level

This plot shows the confidence level of the potential yield forecast according to the plating date, calculated from different climatic scenarios. The black line is the average yield potential for each planting date (corresponds to the value presented in the calendar), the dark green strip corresponds to a 95% confidence interval (high probability) and the light green strip corresponds to extremes (low probability) of the expected potential return on each date.

Probabilities of exceedance

In the following plot you can see whatever the probabilities of exceedance according to the average potential yield.

The agroclimatic forecast for the cultivar Melkasa-II (rainfed) .

Potential yield according to planting date

To calculate the potential yield, please select the soil texture of the plot to be planted

In the following plots the potential yield of the cultivar is grouped by ranges. The color of the cell indicates the level of yield according to a scale defined by the experts. The color of the categories represents in what range it is.

Planting dates

To achieve maximum potential yield at harvest, the most favorable planting date is

Average potential yield

In the following plot you can see the average potential yield, according to the planting date

Forecast confidence level

This plot shows the confidence level of the potential yield forecast according to the plating date, calculated from different climatic scenarios. The black line is the average yield potential for each planting date (corresponds to the value presented in the calendar), the dark green strip corresponds to a 95% confidence interval (high probability) and the light green strip corresponds to extremes (low probability) of the expected potential return on each date.

Probabilities of exceedance

In the following plot you can see whatever the probabilities of exceedance according to the average potential yield.

Historical yield

The historical data described below are the result of the data generated by the crop model with the historical data of this municipality. Yields are averaged according to their classification (national or imported).